Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 9.418202 10.907075 12.504357 14.339592 16.383987 18.585413 21.129056
2025-05-11 7.168300 9.031040 11.160213 13.754533 16.809724 20.272512 24.472142
2025-05-18 5.819926 7.882667 10.370266 13.551273 17.467967 22.088638 27.904088
2025-05-25 4.778141 6.917780 9.626737 13.242283 17.869260 23.516953 30.848430
2025-06-01 4.030186 6.205555 9.084587 13.076673 18.361073 25.002939 33.854160
2025-06-08 3.375342 5.519966 8.482408 12.741315 18.558865 26.069669 36.319107
2025-06-15 2.975262 5.135556 8.234829 12.832624 19.284204 27.804356 39.663586
2025-06-22 2.591156 4.720994 7.893277 12.745479 19.731923 29.158616 42.525618
2025-06-29 2.327296 4.456299 7.737220 12.894752 20.491848 30.936401 45.986603
2025-07-06 2.101994 4.223555 7.601584 13.050847 21.250157 32.719652 49.492056
2025-07-13 1.956732 4.105995 7.629241 13.443477 22.355255 35.008976 53.747934
2025-07-20 1.801763 3.951307 7.579842 13.704764 23.265201 37.039324 57.688439
2025-07-27 1.610148 3.708744 7.367509 13.697125 23.772414 38.515797 60.906113
2025-08-03 1.345750 3.291981 6.820369 13.106022 23.344889 38.602135 62.123242
2025-08-10 1.175212 3.034181 6.523008 12.899050 23.493609 39.527282 64.561497
2025-08-17 1.013413 2.769656 6.186612 12.597260 23.466315 40.173679 66.593090
2025-08-24 0.889521 2.567097 5.943991 12.436126 23.649703 41.133654 69.101433
2025-08-31 0.762735 2.336924 5.624843 12.113157 23.542439 41.630619 70.914394
2025-09-07 0.693403 2.230519 5.537666 12.200494 24.119601 43.203612 74.388293
2025-09-14 0.615177 2.089125 5.365534 12.116647 24.395876 44.302432 77.154591
2025-09-21 0.565004 2.011163 5.317017 12.259947 25.065421 46.041614 80.944575
2025-09-28 0.519971 1.939384 5.274492 12.409849 25.748359 47.816029 84.824078
2025-10-05 0.495784 1.921557 5.347361 12.787025 26.844843 50.287415 89.846388